The African continent is highly vulnerable to the increasing impact of climate change: severe weather-related disasters are impacting water and food availability in Africa, putting additional pressures and stressors on Sub-Saharan countries. Increasing temperature, rainfall variability, extreme and/or prolonged droughts, for example, have severe impacts on different spheres: environmental, economic, social, etc. This is further exacerbated by climate- and human-induced ecosystem degradation and biodiversity loss, which reduce the provision of ecosystem services on which these communities rely. The FAO has identified the Sub-Saharan region as one of the most vulnerable to climate change “because of the combination of its low adaptive capacity with particular eco-climatic and socio-economic conditions”.
ALBATROSS conceives climate risk as the result of the interaction of vulnerability, exposure and hazard. A hazard refers to the potential occurrence of natural or anthropogenic physical events, such as severe storms or more gradual trends like increasing average temperatures or rising sea levels. These hazards can have harmful impacts on elements that are exposed to them, for example, human beings, buildings, infrastructure, economic livelihoods, cultural assets, as well as natural species or ecosystems and their environmental functions, services and resources. In total, they are referred to as exposure. The vulnerability of the exposed elements depends on their environmental, economic or social characteristics, such as a population’s age structure or a region’s dominant soil types, which can increase or reduce the potential impacts of a climate hazard.
Climate-related threats to food and water security, combined with the rapid growth of the African population is a major trigger for internal migration. Furthermore, urbanization, many times in the form of slums, informal and low-income settlements, leaves displaced people more exposed to natural hazards. According to IPCC, “human migration is a potentially effective adaptation strategy, but can also be maladaptive if vulnerability is increased, particularly for health and human settlements”.